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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 14 August 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

91 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 14 August 2022. FC Orenburg vs Torpedo Moskva led the list at 69% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 0 FT
Juventude
✓ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 1 FT
Antofagasta
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
5 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
1 : 4 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
0 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
4 : 1 FT
Seongnam FC
✓ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 1 FT
Norrby IF
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 0 FT
Police Tero
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
3 : 0 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
✓ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 2 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
0 : 3 FT
Anderlecht
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
0 : 3 FT
Prachuap
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
1 : 3 FT
Akhmat
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
0 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
6 : 1 FT
Groningen
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
3 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0 FT
West Ham
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Lens
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
2 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
2 : 4 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 3 FT
Toulouse
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
4 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
3 : 2 FT
Kalmar FF
✓ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
3 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
✓ Win 80%
Draw 15%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 60% Malmo FF Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 15%
Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
1 : 3 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 68% Skövde AIK Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
1 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Brazil
Coritiba
0 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
4 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
2 : 3 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
2 : 2 FT
Slovácko
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
2 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
0 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 0 FT
Servette FC
✓ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
1 : 0 FT
Torpedo Moskva
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
3 : 4 FT
FC Rostov
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Lustenau
4 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
2 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
2 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
2 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
0 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
jerv
1 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
Win 14%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
2 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
✓ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ümraniyespor
0 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 0 FT
Ankaragücü
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
3 : 2 FT
Cremonese
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
2 : 1 FT
Bologna
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
0 : 3 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 31%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
1 : 0 FT
Girona
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
1 : 1 FT
Valerenga
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
0 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
0 : 0 FT
Deinze
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
0 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 28%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Spezia
1 : 0 FT
Empoli
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
2 : 1 FT
Ternana
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Benevento
0 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
2 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
0 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Spal
1 : 3 FT
Reggina
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
1 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
3 : 3 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
5 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
3 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
✓ Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Ceara
0 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
1 : 4 FT
Genk
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena
0 : 1 FT
Huachipato
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Almeria
1 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
3 : 2 FT
FC Edmonton
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 0 FT
Santos
✓ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
1 : 0 FT
Palestino
✓ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
3 : 0 FT
Fluminense
✓ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 91 of 91 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 14 August 2022?

91 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Orenburg vs Torpedo Moskva at 69% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.