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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 21 September 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 21 September 2025. Tianjin Teda vs Sichuan Jiuniu sits top on 54% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 39%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
✓ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Tianjin Teda Clean Sheet 54%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Elche
1 : 0 FT
Oviedo
✓ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
3 : 4 FT
Avellino
Win 43%
Draw 38%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Larisa
1 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#5 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
0 : 0 FT
Newcastle
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
4 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
2 : 2 FT
Hannover 96
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
#8 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Premier League · England
Sunderland
1 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
0 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#11 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
3 : 2 FT
Widzew Łódź
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#12 Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 28%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Dukla Praha
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
1 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
#15 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 1 FT
Ajman
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#16 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#17 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
1 : 0 FT
Lokeren-Temse
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#18 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 0 FT
MVV
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#20 Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 1 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 21 September 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Tianjin Teda vs Sichuan Jiuniu at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.