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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 22 September 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Monday 22 September 2025. St Patrick's Athl. vs Cork City led the list at 51% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 13%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
4 : 0 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Sochi
1 : 3 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 14%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
3 : 2 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 2 FT
Oleksandria
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 31%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
1 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Championship Β· England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Watford
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 3 FT
De Graafschap
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
3 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 28%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 2 FT
Karpaty
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
3 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 4 FT
Cambuur
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 2 FT
Halmstad
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Zorya Luhansk
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
1 : 0 FT
Paris Saint Germain
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 19%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 80%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 22 September 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by St Patrick's Athl. vs Cork City at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.