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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 19 September 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 19 September 2025. St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United led the list at 53% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 3 FT
Annecy
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 64%
#3 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
5 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Angers
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
2 : 0 FT
Bari
✓ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
0 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
0 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 19%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 57%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
3 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#9 Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
3 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
✓ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
3 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
#11 Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
2 : 0 FT
Oddevold
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 33%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
1 : 4 FT
Waalwijk
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
3 : 4 FT
FC OSS
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#17 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
0 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#19 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
3 : 0 FT
Dender
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 19 September 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.