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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 23 September 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 23 September 2025. Montpellier vs Boulogne sits top on 50% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
1 : 3 FT
Boulogne
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#2 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 13%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 64%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
0 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Reims
4 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
2 : 2 FT
Valencia
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
1 : 3 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Le Mans
1 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
0 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 25%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
1 : 2 FT
Nancy
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
2 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Laval
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
1 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Levante
1 : 4 FT
Real Madrid
Win 22%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
1 : 0 FT
Gent
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 57%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
1 : 2 FT
Villarreal
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 36%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
2 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
3 : 2 FT
Gnistan
✓ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#20 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
0 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 23 September 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Montpellier vs Boulogne at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.