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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 14 August 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 42 fixtures on Friday 14 August 2026. Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon led the list at 81% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
✓ Win 69%
Draw 15%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
0 : 0 FT
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
1 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
VPS
1 : 3 FT
Turku PS
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 63% VPS Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · Ukraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
2 : 3 FT
Ajman
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 1 FT
Viking
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
3 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
3 : 3 FT
Orebro SK
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
1 : 1 FT
Oddevold
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
4 : 1 FT
Ried
✓ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 3 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
3 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 3 FT
MVV
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
3 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
0 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
2 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Sporting Hasselt
1 : 0 FT
Dender
✓ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 2 FT
Lokeren-Temse
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
4 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 2 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
5 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
✓ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 2 FT
Çorum FK
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 0 FT
Rodez
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
0 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 32%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
1 : 0 FT
Boulogne
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval
2 : 1 FT
Nantes
✓ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
0 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 27%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
0 : 0 FT
Sochaux
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Reims
3 : 3 FT
Dunkerque
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
3 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
3 : 3 FT
St. Truiden
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Wolves
2 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
✓ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
0 : 2 FT
D. La Serena
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 42 of 42 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 14 August 2026?

42 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.