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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 17 May 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

79 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 17 May 2025. SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Luneng sits top on 85% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
0 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
2 : 1 FT
York United
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
2 : 0 FT
FC Anyang
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Dalian Zhixing
0 : 3 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 19%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 66% Gimcheon Sangmu FC Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 1 FT
Polessya
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 1 FT
Karpaty
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
5 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
1 : 2 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 FT
Notts County
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 52%
Draw 19%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 81%
Model Score 2–2 Β· 7%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 3 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Umeå FC
1 : 3 FT
Utsikten
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 22%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 19%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
2 : 2 FT
Sandviken
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 3 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
Holstein Kiel
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 4 FT
Bayern München
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 4 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 3 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
Premier League Β· Russia
Khimki
3 : 2 FT
Rubin
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
0 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
3 : 1 FT
Ilves
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
4 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
0 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz
1 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 0 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Grazer AK
1 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
TSV Hartberg
3 : 2 FT
WSG Wattens
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
0 : 3 FT
Teplice
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
3 : 2 FT
Dukla Praha
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
1 : 0 FT
Cesena
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 5 FT
Hatayspor
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
3 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
2 : 2 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 1 FT
Fakel
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
0 : 0 FT
FF Jaro
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 0 FT
Dender
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Farense
1 : 2 FT
Santa Clara
Win 29%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 20%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
4 : 1 FT
Boavista
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 14%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
AVS
0 : 3 FT
Moreirense
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
4 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Serie B Β· Italy
Juve Stabia
1 : 0 FT
Palermo
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4 : 1 FT
Al Kholood
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 3–0 Β· 9%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
2 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
2 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 12%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 64%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
0 : 4 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 32%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
4 : 2 FT
Rennes
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
2 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
6 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Saint Etienne
2 : 3 FT
Toulouse
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Reims
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
2 : 3 FT
Le Havre
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
3 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Nantes Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
4 : 0 FT
Monaco
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Ceara
2 : 0 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
0 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
3 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
2 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
4 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 79 of 79 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 17 May 2025?

79 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Luneng at 85% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.