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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 16 May 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 31 fixtures on Friday 16 May 2025. Viking vs Sandefjord led the list at 72% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 37%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
✓ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Gnistan
2 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
3 : 4 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
2 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 FT
KFUM Oslo
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
0 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 0 FT
Haugesund
✓ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
0 : 2 FT
Bryne
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
2 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
3 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
1 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 29%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
0 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
5 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
1 : 3 FT
KuPS
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
2 : 0 FT
Tottenham
✓ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
0 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
0 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
3 : 2 FT
Cork City
✓ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
1 : 0 FT
Manchester United
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Showing 31 of 31 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 16 May 2025?

31 fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Sandefjord at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.