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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 15 May 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 15 May 2026. Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Youth Island sits top on 43% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 43% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · China
Dalian Zhixing
2 : 3 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#2 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
1 : 0 FT
Widzew Łódź
✓ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
3 : 0 FT
Antwerp
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
1 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#7 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 2 FT
Al Nasr
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
#8 League Two · England
Salford City
2 : 2 FT
Grimsby
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#9 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
3 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 58%
#11 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
0 : 0 FT
Rodez
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
#17 League Two · England
Notts County
0 : 0 FT
Chesterfield
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
3 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
2 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
4 : 2 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 15 May 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Youth Island at 43% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.