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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 14 May 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Thursday 14 May 2026. FC Sion vs FC Lugano sits top on 45% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
2 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 62%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kudrivka
2 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
2 : 0 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 55%
#5 League One Β· England
Bradford
0 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Oviedo
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ljungskile SK
1 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
1 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
1 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 3 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Thun
3 : 8 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 14 May 2026?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Sion vs FC Lugano at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.