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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 15 February 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
1 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.