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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Wednesday 18 February 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
2 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
Como
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#3 League One Β· England
Wigan
1 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
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Showing top 6 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.