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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 12 February 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
2 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
2 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 1 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
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Showing top 10 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.