Sign in Register
↩️

Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 27 February 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 27 February 2022. GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax (Ajax (draw no bet)) sits top on 91% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the draw no bet market — 59%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax (draw no bet) 91%
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 8%
Draw 16%
Win 77%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 60% Ajax Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet) 84%
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 13%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Stade Brestois 29 (draw no bet) 81%
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha (draw no bet) 81%
Sparta Praha
2 : 0 FT
Zlin
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco (draw no bet) 79%
Monaco
1 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal (draw no bet) 79%
Villarreal
5 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica (draw no bet) 77%
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Baten (draw no bet) 76%
Al Baten
1 : 0 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Pohang Steelers (draw no bet) 75%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
3 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Torino (draw no bet) 75%
Torino
1 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dnipro-1 (draw no bet) 74%
Dnipro-1
– : – CANC
Desna
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK (draw no bet) 74%
PAOK
1 : 1 FT
Ionikos
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#13 Premier League Β· Russia Akhmat (draw no bet) 74%
Akhmat
2 : 1 FT
FC UFA
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen (draw no bet) 74%
Vitesse
4 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC (draw no bet) 73%
Port FC
0 : 2 FT
Pattaya United
Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 69% Port FC Clean Sheet 56%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Hellas Verona (draw no bet) 73%
Hellas Verona
3 : 1 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray (draw no bet) 72%
Galatasaray
4 : 2 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine Vorskla Poltava (draw no bet) 72%
Vorskla Poltava
– : – CANC
Veres Rivne
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United (draw no bet) 72%
BG Pathum United
2 : 0 FT
Suphanburi
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Hatayspor (draw no bet) 71%
Hatayspor
5 : 2 FT
Yeni Malatyaspor
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 27 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax (Ajax (draw no bet)) at 91% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.