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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 25 February 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Friday 25 February 2022. Genoa vs Inter (Inter (draw no bet)) led the list at 86% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the draw no bet market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Inter (draw no bet) 86%
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Inter
Win 10%
Draw 29%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Inter Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa (draw no bet) 85%
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor (draw no bet) 82%
Adana Demirspor
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Adana Demirspor Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim (draw no bet) 81%
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor (draw no bet) 81%
Trabzonspor
3 : 2 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England Southampton (draw no bet) 78%
Southampton
2 : 0 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam (draw no bet) 78%
FC Volendam
4 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen (draw no bet) 77%
Emmen
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain (draw no bet) 72%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo (draw no bet) 72%
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan (draw no bet) 71%
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 11 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 25 February 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Genoa vs Inter (Inter (draw no bet)) at 86% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.