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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Saturday 26 February 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 26 February 2022. Getafe vs Alaves (Getafe (draw no bet)) sits top on 87% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the draw no bet market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Getafe (draw no bet) 87%
Getafe
2 : 2 FT
Alaves
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet) 85%
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 61% Paris Saint Germain Clean Sheet 54%
#3 League Two Β· England Forest Green (draw no bet) 84%
Crawley Town
2 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 13%
Draw 21%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir (draw no bet) 84%
Başakşehir
1 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#5 League Two Β· England Sutton Utd (draw no bet) 83%
Sutton Utd
4 : 1 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62% Sutton Utd Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England Manchester City (draw no bet) 80%
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 57%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC (draw no bet) 80%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia FC Sochi (draw no bet) 80%
FC Sochi
2 : 0 FT
Arsenal Tula
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg (draw no bet) 79%
SC Freiburg
3 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus (draw no bet) 79%
Empoli
2 : 3 FT
Juventus
Win 16%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München (draw no bet) 78%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 17%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv (draw no bet) 77%
Dynamo Kyiv
– : – CANC
Inhulets
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#13 League One Β· England Rotherham (draw no bet) 77%
Plymouth
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 16%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Rotherham Clean Sheet 54%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet) 76%
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#15 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr (draw no bet) 76%
Al-Nassr
2 : 1 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Championship Β· England Luton (draw no bet) 75%
Luton
1 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Deinze (draw no bet) 75%
Excelsior Virton
0 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
#18 Championship Β· England Nottingham Forest (draw no bet) 75%
Nottingham Forest
2 : 0 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys (draw no bet) 75%
BSC Young Boys
3 : 1 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#20 League One Β· England Portsmouth (draw no bet) 75%
Portsmouth
3 : 3 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 26 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Getafe vs Alaves (Getafe (draw no bet)) at 87% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.