Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 10 May 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 10 May 2026. The strongest reading belongs to SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar Donetsk or draw) at 92% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Thai League 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
92%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
91%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United or draw
91%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
90%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain or draw
89%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Telstar or draw
88%
Serie A · Italy
Como or draw
87%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi or draw
86%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC or draw
86%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente or draw
85%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw
84%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
83%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
83%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United or draw
83%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
82%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC or draw
82%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
82%
Serie A · Brazil
Mirassol or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
82%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 10 May 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar Donetsk or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.