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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 9 May 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 9 May 2026. Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor (Galatasaray or draw) sits top on 94% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 94%
Galatasaray
4 : 2 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 22%
Win 6%
BTTS No 59% Galatasaray Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 91%
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 9%
Draw 13%
βœ“ Win 78%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Premier League Β· England Brighton or draw 89%
Brighton
3 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense or draw 88%
Fluminense
2 : 2 FT
Vitoria
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 87%
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France Dunkerque or draw 86%
Nancy
3 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
Win 14%
Draw 19%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 86%
Chengdu Better City
3 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gangwon FC or draw 86%
Gwangju FC
0 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 14%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 86%
Alanyaspor
3 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 85%
Jeju United FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 15%
Draw 26%
Win 59%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 85%
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 1 FT
Zlin
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kocaelispor or draw 83%
Kocaelispor
0 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 46%
Draw 37%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 83%
Başakşehir
3 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 82%
Lecce
0 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 81%
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 81%
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Göztepe or draw 79%
Göztepe
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France Saint Etienne or draw 79%
Saint Etienne
5 : 0 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 79%
Slavia Praha
0 : 3 CANC
Sparta Praha
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#20 Premier League Β· England Manchester United or draw 78%
Sunderland
0 : 0 FT
Manchester United
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 51%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 9 May 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor (Galatasaray or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.