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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 12 May 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Tuesday 12 May 2026. Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul (FC Seoul or draw) led the list at 86% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

K League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 86%
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 14%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 86%
Real Betis
2 : 1 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC or draw 84%
Servette FC
2 : 0 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 84%
Oleksandria
1 : 2 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 16%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Polessya or draw 82%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3 : 2 FT
Polessya
Win 18%
Draw 30%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Daejeon Citizen or draw 81%
Gangwon FC
2 : 0 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Catanzaro or draw 80%
Catanzaro
3 : 0 FT
Avellino
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo or draw 80%
Celta Vigo
2 : 3 FT
Levante
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Pohang Steelers or draw 79%
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 21%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 76%
Modena
0 : 1 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 75%
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 2 FT
Dukla Praha
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden IFK Varnamo or draw 75%
IFK Varnamo
0 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 75%
FC Luzern
1 : 0 FT
FC Zurich
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 12 May 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul (FC Seoul or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.