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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 13 February 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 13 February 2026. Pisa vs AC Milan (AC Milan or draw) led the list at 92% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 92%
Pisa
1 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 8%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 73%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 67% AC Milan Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC or draw 89%
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 86%
Galatasaray
5 : 1 FT
Eyüpspor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 84%
Santa Clara
1 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 83%
ADO Den Haag
3 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 83%
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 83%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 83%
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 82%
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 81%
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France Annecy or draw 81%
Laval
2 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 80%
Dordrecht
1 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 78%
Al Shabab
2 : 5 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 22%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Samsunspor or draw 78%
Antalyaspor
3 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Radomiak Radom or draw 77%
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium K. Lierse S.K. or draw 75%
K. Lierse S.K.
0 : 1 FT
Seraing United
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 13 February 2026?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pisa vs AC Milan (AC Milan or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.