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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 18 February 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 18 February 2024. AEK Athens FC vs Kifisia (AEK Athens FC or draw) led the list at 95% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 95%
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 74%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 92%
Feyenoord
1 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 91%
BSC Young Boys
1 : 0 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 90%
Benfica
6 : 1 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
BTTS No 58%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 89%
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 88%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Raed
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 87%
Karviná
0 : 3 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 13%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 87%
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 13%
Draw 26%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 85%
Anderlecht
4 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Udinese or draw 85%
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 85%
PAOK
1 : 4 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Arouca or draw 84%
Casa Pia
1 : 0 FT
Arouca
Win 16%
Draw 23%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 84%
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 84%
Kortrijk
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril or draw 83%
Estoril
1 : 3 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 83%
Ankaragücü
0 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 17%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Klagenfurt or draw 83%
Austria Lustenau
0 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 82%
Rennes
3 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 82%
Legia Warszawa
1 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 81%
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 18 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs Kifisia (AEK Athens FC or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.