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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 20 February 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 20 February 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Ipswich vs Rotherham (Ipswich or draw) at 87% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Ipswich or draw 87%
Ipswich
4 : 3 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 League One Β· England Reading or draw 83%
Reading
2 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55%
#3 League One Β· England Oxford United or draw 82%
Oxford United
2 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 81%
Manchester City
1 : 0 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 79%
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#6 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 79%
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 78%
Cambridge United
1 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 22%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#8 Championship Β· England Southampton or draw 78%
Southampton
1 : 2 FT
Hull City
Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 20 February 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Ipswich vs Rotherham (Ipswich or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.