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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 16 February 2024

Tue 13 Wed 14 Thu 15 Fri 16 Sat 17 Sun 18 Mon 19

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 16 February 2024. PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles (PSV Eindhoven or draw) led the list at 93% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 68%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 93%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 57%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 91%

BTTS No 58% Roda Clean Sheet 53%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 90%

✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Inter Clean Sheet 53%

Serie A · Italy Torino or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Torino Clean Sheet 54%

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 83%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Wehda Club or draw 83%

Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 82%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Damac or draw 82%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Cambuur or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#10

Süper Lig · Turkey Kasımpaşa or draw 81%

Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#11

Premier Division · Ireland Bohemians or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#12

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Zulte Waregem or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#13

Championship · England West Brom or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#14

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#15

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 77%

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#16

Ekstraklasa · Poland Slask Wroclaw or draw 77%

#17

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 76%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#18

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hannover 96 or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#19

Challenger Pro League · Belgium KRC Genk II or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 16 February 2024?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.