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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 27 January 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 27 January 2024. PSV Eindhoven vs Almere City FC (PSV Eindhoven or draw) sits top on 93% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 93%
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 65%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 92%
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 89%
Nice
1 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Nice Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 89%
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 67% Juventus Clean Sheet 59%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 88%
Adana Demirspor
0 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 League Two Β· England Walsall or draw 87%
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 87%
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 59%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC or draw 87%
Servette FC
1 : 0 FT
Yverdon Sport
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 87%
AC Milan
2 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 85%
Barcelona
3 : 5 FT
Villarreal
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 League One Β· England Barnsley or draw 85%
Barnsley
1 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#12 League One Β· England Northampton or draw 84%
Northampton
0 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg or draw 83%
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy Pisa or draw 83%
Pisa
2 : 3 FT
Spezia
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy Parma or draw 82%
Modena
3 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 League One Β· England Blackpool or draw 82%
Blackpool
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 League One Β· England Derby or draw 81%
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 81%
Gent
2 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 80%
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 2 FT
RB Leipzig
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 80%
Marseille
2 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 27 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Almere City FC (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.