Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Saturday 27 January 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 27 January 2024. PSV Eindhoven vs Almere City FC (PSV Eindhoven or draw) sits top on 93% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
93%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
92%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice or draw
89%
Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus or draw
89%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor or draw
88%
League Two Β· England
Walsall or draw
87%
Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta or draw
87%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC or draw
87%
Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan or draw
87%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona or draw
85%
League One Β· England
Barnsley or draw
85%
League One Β· England
Northampton or draw
84%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg or draw
83%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa or draw
83%
Serie B Β· Italy
Parma or draw
82%
League One Β· England
Blackpool or draw
82%
League One Β· England
Derby or draw
81%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent or draw
81%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart or draw
80%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 27 January 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Almere City FC (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.