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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 28 January 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 28 January 2024. The strongest reading belongs to AEK Athens FC vs OFI (AEK Athens FC or draw) at 91% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 91%
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 88%
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 86%
KV Mechelen
3 : 1 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 85%
Fatih Karagümrük
4 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 84%
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 84%
FC Luzern
2 : 1 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 83%
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 82%
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy Hellas Verona or draw 82%
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Cittadella or draw 81%
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 80%
Fiorentina
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Reims or draw 80%
Reims
0 : 0 FT
Nantes
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 80%
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 4 FT
FC Lugano
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 77%
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany Union Berlin or draw 77%
Union Berlin
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Boavista or draw 77%
Boavista
1 : 4 FT
Portimonense
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Girona or draw 76%
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV or draw 76%
Hamburger SV
3 : 4 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 76%
Cadiz
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 76%
Atletico Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 28 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs OFI (AEK Athens FC or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.