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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 24 January 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Wednesday 24 January 2024. Bayern München vs Union Berlin (Bayern München or draw) sits top on 94% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Süper Lig supplies four of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 94%
Bayern München
1 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 81%
Leeds
1 : 0 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Ankaragücü or draw 78%
Ankaragücü
2 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 77%
Başakşehir
0 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 23%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 77%
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC or draw 76%
Almere City FC
0 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium RWDM or draw 76%
RWDM
0 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 76%
Antalyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 24 January 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Union Berlin (Bayern München or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.