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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 27 February 2022

Thu 24 Fri 25 Sat 26 Sun 27 Mon 28 Tue 1 Wed 2

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 27 February 2022. GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax (Ajax or draw) led the list at 92% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 60% Ajax Clean Sheet 55%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 87%

Ligue 1 · France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 85%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 85%

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 84%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%

La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Serie A · Italy Torino or draw 82%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Baten or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%

#10

Thai League 1 · Thailand Port FC or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 69% Port FC Clean Sheet 56%

#11

K League 1 · South-Korea Pohang Steelers or draw 82%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

#12

Premier League · Russia Akhmat or draw 81%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

#13

Serie A · Italy Hellas Verona or draw 81%

#14

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 81%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%

#15

Serie B · Italy Pisa or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#16

Süper Lig · Turkey Hatayspor or draw 80%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66%

#17

Premier League · Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 80%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%

#18

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 80%

#19

Eredivisie · Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 80%

#20

Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 27 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax (Ajax or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.