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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 26 February 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 26 February 2022. Getafe vs Alaves (Getafe or draw) sits top on 90% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 84%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Getafe or draw 90%
Getafe
2 : 2 FT
Alaves
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 88%
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 61% Paris Saint Germain Clean Sheet 54%
#3 League Two Β· England Sutton Utd or draw 88%
Sutton Utd
4 : 1 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62% Sutton Utd Clean Sheet 54%
#4 League Two Β· England Forest Green or draw 87%
Crawley Town
2 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 13%
Draw 21%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 87%
Başakşehir
1 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 85%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg or draw 84%
SC Freiburg
3 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 84%
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 57%
#9 League One Β· England Rotherham or draw 84%
Plymouth
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 16%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Rotherham Clean Sheet 54%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia FC Sochi or draw 84%
FC Sochi
2 : 0 FT
Arsenal Tula
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 84%
Empoli
2 : 3 FT
Juventus
Win 16%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 83%
Dynamo Kyiv
– : – CANC
Inhulets
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 83%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 17%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 82%
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#15 Championship Β· England Luton or draw 81%
Luton
1 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Deinze or draw 81%
Excelsior Virton
0 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
#17 League One Β· England Portsmouth or draw 81%
Portsmouth
3 : 3 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#18 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 81%
Al-Nassr
2 : 1 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile D. La Serena or draw 81%
D. La Serena
1 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 League One Β· England Cheltenham or draw 81%
Cheltenham
1 : 2 FT
Crewe
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 26 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Getafe vs Alaves (Getafe or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.