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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 10 January 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 41 fixtures on Saturday 10 January 2026. PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior led the list at 81% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
5 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
✓ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 1 FT
Kanchanaburi
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 9%
League One · England
Luton
2 : 1 FT
Stevenage
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Stockport County
1 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
3 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
✓ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Oviedo
1 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 21%
Draw 35%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Serie A · Italy
Como
1 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
2 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
2 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
2 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Virtus Entella
1 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Avellino
2 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
1 : 0 FT
Bari
✓ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
1 : 3 FT
Venezia
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
0 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 30%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 45%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
✓ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Peterborough
3 : 1 FT
Bolton
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Crewe
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 2 FT
Bromley
Win 26%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia
1 : 1 FT
Larisa
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
3 : 1 FT
Alaves
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
✓ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
2 : 2 FT
Pescara
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 4 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
1 : 0 FT
Osasuna
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 23%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
0 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 26%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 23%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie B · Italy
Cesena
0 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 1 FT
Excelsior
✓ Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Torino
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
1 : 1 FT
Elche
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Showing 41 of 41 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 10 January 2026?

41 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.