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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 17 September 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

85 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 17 September 2023. SV Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach sits top on 81% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
Botafogo
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
0 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 1 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
3 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
0 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Millwall
0 : 3 FT
Leeds
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
2 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Gais
4 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
0 : 0 FT
Fakel
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
3 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
5 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
7 : 0 FT
VfL Osnabrück
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 3 FT
Standard Liege
Win 35%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
1 : 0 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
3 : 2 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 14%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 2 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
3 : 1 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
1 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
3 : 1 FT
Ajax
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
TSV Hartberg
2 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
2 : 3 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 22%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
0 : 0 FT
Chelsea
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
2 : 2 FT
Montpellier
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
1 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
2 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
1 : 3 FT
Malmo FF
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 0 FT
Utsikten
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Frosinone
4 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
0 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
1 : 7 FT
Plzen
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
4 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
0 : 3 FT
Zenit
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Francs Borains
2 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 2 FT
Başakşehir
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 2 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
2 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
0 : 5 FT
Parma
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Como
2 : 1 FT
Ternana
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
5 : 3 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 39%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 35%
Draw 20%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
0 : 1 FT
Brann
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
2 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
5 : 3 FT
Skövde AIK
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 63% Orebro SK Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kifisia
4 : 4 FT
Panserraikos
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
3 : 3 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
0 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
3 : 3 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 28%
Draw 20%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 7%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
0 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 3 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 2 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
3 : 2 FT
Atalanta
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
0 : 2 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
5 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 2 FT
Portimonense
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
3 : 3 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
3 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
3 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
0 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
0 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
2 : 3 FT
Forge
Win 23%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
0 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
7 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
1 : 4 FT
Pacific FC
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%

Showing 85 of 85 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 17 September 2023?

85 fixtures met the criteria, led by SV Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.