Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 15 September 2023

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The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 40 fixtures on Friday 15 September 2023. Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown led the list at 70% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64% Coritiba Clean Sheet 53%

Model Score 1–0 · 19%

Serie A · Brazil

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Super League · China

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Super League · China

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 68% Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 65%

Model Score 2–0 · 17%

Super League · China

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Super League · China

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Premier League · Ukraine

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier League · Russia

✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Serie B · Italy

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Championship · England

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

League Two · England

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Championship · England

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

La Liga · Spain

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 15 September 2023?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.