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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 2 April 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

82 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 2 April 2023. Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon led the list at 74% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 3 FT
Sivasspor
Win 37%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 3 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 3 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 27%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Lviv
0 : 2 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 0 FT
Ajax
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 38%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 39%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 34%
✓ Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
3 : 0 FT
Udinese
✓ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 19%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ümraniyespor
2 : 2 FT
Konyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
3 : 1 FT
Lorient
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
0 : 1 FT
Gefle IF
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 0 FT
Skövde AIK
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
0 : 6 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 3 FT
Prachuap
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
0 : 3 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 15%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 2 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 3 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
3 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
2 : 2 FT
Almeria
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1 : 2 FT
Police Tero
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
3 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
✓ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
2 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 10%
Draw 16%
Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 2 FT
Lask Linz
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 20%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 0 FT
Southampton
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
1 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
2 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
0 : 3 FT
Reims
Win 29%
Draw 38%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
3 : 1 FT
Toulouse
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
3 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 1 FT
Sirius
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 1 FT
Gais
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 20%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Serie A · Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
2 : 2 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
0 : 2 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 25%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 2 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
3 : 1 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
✓ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 0 FT
Pardubice
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
0 : 0 FT
Cittadella
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
6 : 0 FT
Valladolid
✓ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Real Madrid Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
4 : 2 FT
Boavista
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Chaves
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 23%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 2 FT
FC Sion
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
3 : 1 FT
Groningen
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
0 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
Win 43%
Draw 38%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
3 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
4 : 3 FT
Strasbourg
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
2 : 0 FT
Manchester United
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 2 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
0 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
2 : 1 FT
Torpedo Moskva
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
2 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
0 : 3 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
0 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 42%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
0 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 18%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 0 FT
Slovácko
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 4 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 2 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 67%
Draw 25%
Win 8%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
3 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
0 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
0 : 4 FT
AC Milan
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Real Betis
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%

Showing 82 of 82 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 2 April 2023?

82 fixtures met the criteria, led by Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.