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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 12 February 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 57 fixtures on Sunday 12 February 2023. Vitesse vs Utrecht led the list at 78% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 23%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
1 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 1 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
✓ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 2 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 26%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
2 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lampang FC
0 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
3 : 1 FT
Rennes
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
4 : 4 FT
Buriram United
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 0 FT
SV Sandhausen
✓ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
0 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
1 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 0 FT
Utrecht
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
0 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Leeds
0 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
2 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
3 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
4 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
0 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 1 FT
Atromitos
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 1 FT
Pardubice
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
2 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
4 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
3 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Excelsior Virton
0 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
2 : 1 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
0 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
5 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
✓ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
1 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
3 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
✓ Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Twente Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
3 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
1 : 0 FT
Lorient
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
3 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 2 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
2 : 6 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 30%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
0 : 0 FT
Osasuna
Win 34%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 19%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 2 FT
Kortrijk
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
1 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 43%
Draw 38%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
1 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
3 : 0 FT
Cremonese
✓ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 69%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 27%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
3 : 3 FT
Cobresal
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Showing 57 of 57 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 12 February 2023?

57 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vitesse vs Utrecht at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.