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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 14 February 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

32 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 14 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Dhafra at 77% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
2 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Birmingham
0 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Championship Β· England
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
Millwall
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Norwich
3 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
QPR
0 : 3 FT
Sunderland
Win 27%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Accrington ST
0 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 20%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Bolton
5 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 0 FT
Ipswich
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Cambridge United
1 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Derby
1 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 FT
Peterborough
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 32%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 3 FT
Barnsley
Win 22%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
League One Β· England
Portsmouth
1 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Sheffield Wednesday Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Bradford
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Carlisle
0 : 4 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Colchester
0 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Crewe
2 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Gillingham
2 : 1 FT
Grimsby
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
2 : 1 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 70% Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 21%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 2 FT
Stevenage
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Northampton
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Stockport County
2 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 0 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Burnley
1 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Reading
2 : 1 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 14 February 2023?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Dhafra at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.