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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 10 February 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

33 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 10 February 2023. AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior sits top on 73% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
2 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
3 : 1 FT
Abha
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
4 : 0 FT
Ajman
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
1 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 1 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
5 : 0 FT
Al-Adalah
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 15%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 0 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
0 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 37%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
4 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
5 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
4 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
3 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
OH Leuven
0 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 10%
Draw 19%
Win 71%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 0 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Genoa
2 : 0 FT
Palermo
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
Rapid Vienna
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Torino
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
2 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
Birmingham
2 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
2 : 0 FT
Girona
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vizela
0 : 0 FT
Chaves
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 10 February 2023?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.