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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 4 February 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

107 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 4 February 2023. 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig led the list at 80% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
Curico Unido
2 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ankaragücü
0 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 26%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 53%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
3 : 2 FT
Prachuap
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1 : 3 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
2 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 33%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Everton
1 : 0 FT
Arsenal
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Championship · England
Norwich
0 : 3 FT
Burnley
Win 23%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 52%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Rotherham
0 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Newport County
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Benevento
1 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 34%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
3 : 0 FT
Ascoli
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
0 : 0 FT
Ternana
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Perugia
4 : 0 FT
Brescia
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
0 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Spal
3 : 4 FT
Bari
Win 34%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
5 : 1 FT
Dibba Al-Fujairah
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
4 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
✓ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
3 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
0 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
2 : 2 FT
Zlin
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
0 : 5 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
0 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 33%
✓ Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
5 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
✓ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 0 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 48%
Draw 21%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 78%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
5 : 2 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
2 : 4 FT
Leicester
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Brentford
3 : 0 FT
Southampton
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · England
Brighton
1 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
✓ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
2 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
✓ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · England
Wolves
3 : 0 FT
Liverpool
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Huddersfield
1 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 0 FT
Cardiff
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Luton
1 : 0 FT
Stoke City
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
3 : 0 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Preston
1 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 23%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 52%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Reading
2 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Swansea
3 : 4 FT
Birmingham
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Accrington ST
0 : 3 FT
Lincoln
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Bolton Clean Sheet 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 19%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
Ipswich
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Derby
5 : 0 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 34%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 3 FT
Burton Albion
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Forest Green
0 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Oxford United
0 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Port Vale
0 : 3 FT
Wycombe
Win 22%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
League One · England
Portsmouth
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Crewe
0 : 3 FT
Grimsby
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Doncaster
0 : 1 FT
Hartlepool
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
✓ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 21%
League Two · England
Northampton
0 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Salford City
2 : 1 FT
Rochdale
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Stockport County
3 : 2 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League Two · England
Sutton Utd
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
3 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
0 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 32%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Como
0 : 2 FT
Frosinone
Win 32%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
3 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
2 : 2 FT
Boavista
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1 FT
Toulouse
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
✓ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 4 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 22%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 52%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
1 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 27%
Draw 39%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 2 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 20%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
1 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 13%
Draw 19%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 3 FT
Lyon
Win 25%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
✓ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 25%
Draw 36%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
✓ Win 40%
Draw 37%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 2 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 27%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
✓ Win 45%
Draw 21%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
3 : 0 FT
Servette FC
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 0 FT
Atalanta
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
1 : 3 FT
Lille
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
3 : 4 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
0 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Magallanes
1 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
1 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 107 of 107 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 4 February 2023?

107 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.