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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 3 February 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

32 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 3 February 2023. Heracles vs Jong Utrecht led the list at 80% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
2 : 2 FT
Police Tero
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
2 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
3 : 2 FT
Al-Adalah
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
4 : 1 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
0 : 4 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
4 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
6 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 17%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
3 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
5 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
4 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
2 : 2 FT
Lommel United
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
2 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
2 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
2 : 0 FT
Guingamp
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 2 FT
Sochaux
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
3 : 1 FT
Laval
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
0 : 1 FT
Niort
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
0 : 2 FT
Grenoble
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
0 : 0 FT
Paris FC
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
3 : 1 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
0 : 2 FT
Bordeaux
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
0 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
0 : 0 FT
Fulham
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Coventry
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
4 : 1 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 1 FT
U. Catolica
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 3 February 2023?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs Jong Utrecht at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.