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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 28 January 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

94 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 28 January 2023. Bohemians 1905 vs Teplice led the list at 69% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
3 : 2 FT
Everton de Vina
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 0 FT
Lampang FC
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
3 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
✓ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Charlton
1 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 2 FT
Perugia
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
0 : 1 FT
Como
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 0 FT
Parma
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
2 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Serie B · Italy
Ternana
2 : 1 FT
Modena
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
1 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
2 : 0 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
2 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ankaragücü
0 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 18%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 62%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
2 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
2 : 3 FT
Sochaux
Win 30%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
2 : 2 FT
Torino
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
2 : 0 FT
Teplice
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
1 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
3 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
5 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 4 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 35%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Championship · England
Coventry
2 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Hull City
3 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
Watford
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Burton Albion
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Cheltenham
0 : 0 FT
Port Vale
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Morecambe
5 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Peterborough
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
2 : 1 FT
Forest Green
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 FT
Stockport County
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
3 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
0 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Hartlepool
1 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town
4 : 1 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Rochdale
0 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 20%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 55%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
3 : 3 FT
Gillingham
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
✓ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Excelsior Virton
1 : 3 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 34%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1 : 1 FT
Palestino
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Pisa
Win 33%
✓ Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 17%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 23%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
3 : 2 FT
Ümraniyespor
✓ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
0 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 17%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 59%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
3 : 3 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
3 : 3 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
1 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 19%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 2 FT
Oostende
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
3 : 0 FT
Elche
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 3 FT
Panetolikos
Win 22%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 0 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
3 : 1 FT
Paris FC
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
0 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
0 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
2 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Nimes
3 : 2 FT
Niort
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
0 : 3 FT
Bordeaux
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
1 : 1 FT
Atromitos
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
1 : 3 FT
Vitesse
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 3 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 3 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
2 : 3 FT
FC Luzern
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
✓ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 26%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
1 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 5 FT
Utrecht
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
0 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
3 : 1 FT
Curico Unido
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 94 of 94 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 28 January 2023?

94 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bohemians 1905 vs Teplice at 69% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.