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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 24 July 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

47 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 24 July 2021. Lausanne vs FC ST. Gallen led the list at 94% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 5%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

2. Bundesliga supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
2 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
Win 21%
Draw 32%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 35%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 1 FT
Chongqing Lifan
✓ Win 43%
Draw 38%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
0 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 30%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
0 : 2 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 4%
Draw 14%
✓ Win 81%
Over 2.5 72%
✓ Model Score 0–2 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 4%
Draw 14%
Win 81%
Over 2.5 72%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
3 : 0 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
Win 4%
Draw 14%
Win 81%
✓ Over 2.5 72%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
1 : 3 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 4%
Draw 14%
✓ Win 81%
✓ Over 2.5 72%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
2 : 0 FT
Qingdao Huanghai
Win 26%
Draw 43%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Super League · China
Guangzhou R&F
3 : 3 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 14%
Draw 28%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Górnik Łęczna
1 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 17%
✓ Draw 55%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 94% BTTS No 86% Cracovia Krakow Clean Sheet 70%
Model Score 0–0 · 43%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 27%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
3 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
2 : 0 FT
Haka
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
0 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 21%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 21%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
1 : 3 FT
Zenit
Win 22%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
2 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
0 : 1 FT
Trelleborg
Win 28%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
0 : 2 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 4%
Draw 14%
✓ Win 81%
Over 2.5 72%
✓ Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
Win 4%
Draw 14%
✓ Win 81%
Over 2.5 72%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 1 FT
Admira Wacker
Win 4%
Draw 14%
Win 81%
Over 2.5 72%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 19%
✓ Draw 49%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 89% BTTS No 79% Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 32%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
✓ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 1 FT
Inhulets
Win 17%
Draw 55%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 95% BTTS No 86% Inhulets Clean Sheet 70%
Model Score 0–0 · 43%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 2 FT
Auxerre
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
4 : 0 FT
Rodez
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
1 : 1 FT
Quevilly
Win 21%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
0 : 4 FT
Paris FC
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
0 : 0 FT
Guingamp
Win 21%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
2 : 1 FT
Nancy
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Toulouse
2 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 21%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
0 : 0 FT
Niort
Win 21%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
3 : 1 FT
Arsenal Tula
Win 2%
Draw 15%
Win 83%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 71% Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 70%
Model Score 0–2 · 18%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin
1 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 2%
Draw 15%
Win 83%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 71% Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 70%
Model Score 0–2 · 18%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
3 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 20%
Draw 47%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 86% ✓ BTTS No 75% Wisla Plock Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 0–0 · 28%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 0 FT
Valour
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
Win 13%
Draw 32%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
1 : 2 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 15%
Draw 14%
✓ Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 94% ✓ BTTS Yes 86%
Model Score 2–4 · 5%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
0 : 3 FT
Charleroi
Win 36%
Draw 42%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Primera División · Chile
Nublense
0 : 0 FT
Antofagasta
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
1 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
1 : 0 FT
FC Edmonton
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Primera División · Chile
D. Melipilla
3 : 3 FT
Union La Calera
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
1 : 0 FT
Fluminense
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 47 of 47 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 24 July 2021?

47 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lausanne vs FC ST. Gallen at 94% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.