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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 4 May 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 4 May 2026. Cremonese vs Lazio led the list at 58% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 16%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 70% Lazio Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
0 : 1 FT
Molde
Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
1 : 0 FT
Lahti
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
4 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
5 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Everton
3 : 3 FT
Manchester City
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 58%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 4 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 0 FT
Al Najma
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
4 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
3 : 3 FT
Dundalk
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
#14 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
6 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
2 : 2 FT
Osters IF
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
3 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
3 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 3 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 4 May 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cremonese vs Lazio at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.