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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 3 May 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 3 May 2026. Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano sits top on 51% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 42%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
0 : 2 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 1 FT
Kocaelispor
Win 45%
Draw 37%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 0 FT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
✓ Win 46%
Draw 36%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 0 FT
Uthai Thani
✓ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
3 : 1 FT
Angers
✓ Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#8 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
2 : 2 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 2 FT
Bahia
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 54%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
1 : 3 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#13 Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
0 : 1 FT
Polessya
Win 28%
Draw 36%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#14 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 0 FT
Aalesund
✓ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
3 : 3 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56%
#16 Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
3 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Parma
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#18 Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
3 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
✓ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
#19 Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
2 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 0 FT
AC Milan
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 3 May 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.