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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 2 May 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 2 May 2026. Port Vale vs Lincoln sits top on 55% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 46%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 17%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Lincoln Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 33%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vitoria
4 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Alverca
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
0 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 26%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#6 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 1 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%
#7 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
BTTS No 56%
#8 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
1 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
#10 League One Β· England
Wycombe
3 : 2 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
BTTS No 55%
#11 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
3 : 0 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
5 : 1 FT
Levante
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Mans
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 3 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#16 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Anyang
0 : 1 FT
Bucheon FC 1995
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 0 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Nacional
1 : 2 FT
AVS
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
#19 League One Β· England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Wigan
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0 : 0 FT
Gremio
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 2 May 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Port Vale vs Lincoln at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.