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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 5 May 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 5 May 2026. Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC led the list at 44% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 44% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

K League 1 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 · South-Korea
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 23%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
1 : 0 FT
IFK Norrkoping
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
4 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Gnistan
2 : 0 FT
Inter Turku
Win 15%
Draw 24%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
2 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
2 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#7 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 2 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 0 FT
Incheon United
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#9 Super League · China
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#10 Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#11 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 18%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Super League · China
Shenyang Urban
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
0 : 0 FT
FC Anyang
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
0 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 35%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 43%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 5 May 2026?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC at 44% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.