Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 21 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 21 February 2026. Lecce vs Inter led the list at 56% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 44%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 12%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Inter Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
Antwerp
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 68% Union St. Gilloise Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
0 : 0 FT
Zlin
Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
2 : 3 FT
Monaco
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 88%
Draw 8%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
0 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
0 : 0 FT
Bromley
Win 11%
Draw 19%
Win 70%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
2 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
0 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
6 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 3 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
3 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
2 : 1 FT
Kanchanaburi
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
2 : 0 FT
Galatasaray
Win 13%
Draw 30%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
0 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#16 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
2 : 1 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#17 League One Β· England
Wycombe
3 : 1 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
BTTS No 54%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 1 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
#19 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
4 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#20 Championship Β· England
Southampton
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 21 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lecce vs Inter at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.