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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 20 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 20 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Dhafra vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 48% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 36%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 5 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 11%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
1 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 35%
Draw 38%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 24%
Draw 36%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
2 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#8 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57%
#9 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 3 FT
Al Shabab
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#10 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
2 : 3 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
2 : 4 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 12%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
3 : 2 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#13 Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
✓ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#15 Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
3 : 2 FT
SK Poltava
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
FC OSS
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#17 Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
0 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#18 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 2 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
#19 2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 20 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Dhafra vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.