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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 13 May 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Wednesday 13 May 2026. Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar (Shakhtar Donetsk or draw) led the list at 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 94%
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 59% Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 89%
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal or draw 89%
Villarreal
2 : 3 FT
Sevilla
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine LNZ Cherkasy or draw 88%
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0 FT
SK Poltava
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Forge or draw 85%
Forge
1 : 0 FT
Supra du Quebec
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 83%
Slavia Praha
5 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 82%
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 18%
Draw 33%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Jeonbuk Motors Clean Sheet 54%
#8 League One Β· England Stockport County or draw 82%
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 80%
Alaves
1 : 0 FT
Barcelona
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Levadiakos or draw 79%
Levadiakos
3 : 2 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 78%
PAOK
1 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden Helsingborg or draw 78%
Helsingborg
2 : 2 FT
Oddevold
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 77%
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 1 FT
United Nordic
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 75%
Raków Częstochowa
0 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 13 May 2026?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar (Shakhtar Donetsk or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.