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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 15 May 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 15 May 2026. Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Ittihad Kalba (Al-Wasl FC or draw) sits top on 83% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies four of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 83%
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Super League Β· China Dalian Zhixing or draw 81%
Dalian Zhixing
2 : 3 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#3 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 80%
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 79%
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Super League Β· China Henan Jianye or draw 79%
Henan Jianye
1 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Saint Etienne or draw 76%
Saint Etienne
0 : 0 FT
Rodez
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 76%
Tianjin Teda
1 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Khorfakkan or draw 75%
Sharjah FC
3 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 15 May 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Ittihad Kalba (Al-Wasl FC or draw) at 83% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.