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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 16 May 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 16 May 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Viking vs Start (Viking or draw) at 98% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 98% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 98%
Viking
6 : 3 FT
Start
βœ“ Win 92%
Draw 6%
Win 2%
✓ Over 2.5 84% BTTS No 53%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 95%
Al Ain
4 : 0 FT
Dibba Al-Fujairah
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 92%
SK Poltava
0 : 2 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 8%
Draw 12%
βœ“ Win 80%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 91%
Molde
1 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 65%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 90%
Bayern München
5 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 89%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 : 0 FT
Al Kholood
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 88%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
NEOM
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 88%
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg or draw 87%
Rosenborg
2 : 3 FT
Aalesund
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60%
#10 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 86%
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2 FT
Shenyang Urban
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 85%
SC Braga
2 : 2 FT
Estrela
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 85%
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC or draw 85%
Al-Dhafra
1 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 84%
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 84%
Daejeon Citizen
1 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
Win 16%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#16 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland AC Oulu or draw 83%
AC Oulu
1 : 0 FT
Turku PS
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile O'Higgins or draw 83%
O'Higgins
0 : 1 FT
Universidad de Concepcion
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 83%
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Alverca
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine FC Kharkiv or draw 83%
FC Kharkiv
1 : 1 FT
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 82%
FC Winterthur
0 : 3 FT
FC Luzern
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 16 May 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Start (Viking or draw) at 98% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.