Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 26 April 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 26 April 2026. Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc (Fluminense or draw) sits top on 90% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense or draw
90%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC or draw
88%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United or draw
88%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense or draw
88%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
88%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
87%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam or draw
87%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre or draw
86%
Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya or draw
84%
Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
83%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes or draw
83%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
83%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso or draw
82%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund or draw
82%
Championship · England
Coventry or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart or draw
82%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille or draw
81%
Super League · China
Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 26 April 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc (Fluminense or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.