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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 27 April 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 27 April 2026. Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük (Beşiktaş or draw) sits top on 91% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 91%
Beşiktaş
0 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 88%
GIL Vicente
2 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 55%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia Baltika or draw 81%
Baltika
0 : 1 FT
Akron
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Degerfors IF or draw 81%
Orgryte IS
1 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Epitsentr Dunayivtsi or draw 78%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 77%
Alanyaspor
2 : 3 FT
Samsunspor
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 77%
Piast Gliwice
4 : 1 FT
Arka Gdynia
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 27 April 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük (Beşiktaş or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.